Patent Damages Engine

Not a calculator.
A guided intelligence engine.

Meridian is a conversational platform that walks users through each layer of a damages opinion — interrogating the facts, applying validated algorithms and stress-testing every assumption before producing a court-ready output.

What Meridian is

Four pillars behind every opinion

🎯

Interactive input

The platform asks 40+ structured questions — claim charts, product financials, venue, invalidity risk.

Legal rigor

All 15 Georgia-Pacific factors scored, weighted and mapped to comparable license data.

🎲

Risk simulation

10,000-iteration Monte Carlo over IPR risk, § 101 risk, venue and validity probability.

📊

Investor output

P10/P50/P90 exposure range, methodology narrative, JSON/CSV export for downstream use.

How it works

7-stage guided valuation workflow

  1. 01

    Case & patent intake

    Venue, hypothetical negotiation date, patent numbers, claim strength scoring.

  2. 02

    Accused product mapping

    SSPPU identification, infringing revenue, apportionment factor, EMVR eligibility check.

  3. 03

    Georgia-Pacific interrogation

    All 15 GP factors scored via guided Q&A, with comparable license normalization.

  4. 04

    Risk layer: IPR + § 101 + venue

    Inter partes review probability, subject matter eligibility, judge-level Daubert risk flags.

  5. 05

    Law firm intelligence

    Opposing counsel win rates, expert witness track records, settlement propensity scoring.

  6. 06

    Monte Carlo simulation

    10,000 iterations across rate, apportionment, validity and infringement probability.

  7. 07

    Reproducible deliverable

    Exposure band, methodology narrative and audit trail exported for IC memos and underwriting files.

Nuance coverage

Where others stop, Meridian goes deeper

Four proprietary risk layers unavailable in any other patent valuation tool.

IPR / post-grant risk

PTAB institution rates by art unit, petitioner track record, patent age and claim breadth. Applied as a Bernoulli probability multiplier on all damages outputs.

67% avg PTAB institution rateArt-unit specific

Venue intelligence

District-by-district win rates, median award calibration, judge-level Daubert intensity, and W.D. Texas Waco division data through Q1 2026.

WD Tex +8–12%D. Del +5–8%7 districts mapped

§ 101 / Alice risk

Subject matter eligibility scoring via claim abstraction analysis. Software, business method and diagnostic patents carry elevated § 101 flags that compress the damages range.

Alice/Mayo doctrine mappedCPC class scoring

Law firm metrics

Opposing counsel win/loss records, damages-expert Daubert challenge success rates, settlement propensity index and litigation duration modeling by firm.

Expert track recordSettlement index

Sample output

Probabilistic exposure: P10 · P50 · P90

Illustrative output — US semiconductor case · W.D. Texas · 3 patents asserted · 2 accused products.

P10 — conservative

$18.4M

P50 — central estimate

$47.2M

P90 — aggressive

$112.8M

Expected value

$53.6M

95% confidence interval: $14.1M – $138.4M · royalty rate range 2.8%–7.4% on a $640M SSPPU base.

Top variance drivers (tornado)

Royalty rate38%
Apportionment α28%
IPR validity risk18%
Venue (W.D. Tex.)10%
§ 101 risk6%

Competitive position

First-mover across every capability dimension

"Best competitor" = composite of Lex Machina, Docket Navigator and ktMINE valuation modules.
CapabilityMeridianBest competitor
Predictive damages output
IPR risk modeling
§ 101 Alice risk scoring
Law firm / expert metrics
Monte Carlo simulationPartial
15-factor GP interrogationManual
Interoperable JSON/CSV export

Capital & insurance coverage

Purpose-built for the three capital providers on every case

PE / litigation fund risk

Probabilistic case selection for IP-focused funds: MOIC/NPV, tranche sizing and stage-gate deployment on a per-case Reliability Index.

MOIC / NPV @ 25%Stage-gate tranches

Judgment preservation insurance

Post-verdict JPI underwriting: reversal and remittitur probability on appeal, attachment-point pricing, layered-tower correlation.

CAFC 34.5% reversalLayered tower

Contingency litigation risk

Case selection for plaintiff-side firms: expected fee recovery, break-even hour budget and Daubert exclusion risk on damages experts.

Break-even hour budget

Cross-coverage diligence

One reproducible engine feeds fund IC memos, law-firm intake committees and JPI underwriters — the same P10/P50/P90 across the capital stack.

Audit-ready trail

Run your next matter through the engine.

Bring a live case or a closed one — we will show you the exposure band, the driver waterfall and the audit trail.

Request a demo